#] #] ********************* #] "$d_mkts"'Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/0_Fischer notes.txt' # www.BillHowell.ca 02Feb2021 initia can't find my earlier notes? # view this file in a text editor, with [constant width font, tab = 3 spaces], no line-wrap for procedures, see "$d_webRawe""economics, markets/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/0_Fischer - The Great pricing Waves 1200-1990 AD .html" see "Template for data analysis steps" section of webPage : "$d_webRawe""economics, markets/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/0_Fischer - The Great pricing Waves 1200-1990 AD .html" #48************************************************48 #24************************24 # Table of Contents, generate with : # $ grep "^#]" "$d_mkts"'Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/0_Fischer notes.txt' | sed "s/^#\]/ /" # ********************* "$d_mkts"'Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/0_Fischer notes.txt' +-----+ Market-related [file, dir]s : +-----+ 07Dec2021 samitrading blog comment 03Feb2021 "Fig 5.02 Price movements in ancient Greece, price of barley and olive oil 450-150 BC" 02Feb2021 ancient Babylon #24************************24 #] +-----+ #] Market-related [file, dir]s : Market data related : "$d_mktData"'[, detrend, digitize graphs, rawCsv, semi-log, SLregress, TV Fibonacci mirror, unixDate, yrFraction]/' "$d_mkts"'Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/0_Fischer notes.txt' also, many other [data, analysis] in "$d_[mkts, Qroot]" "$d_SysMaint"'digitizelt graph from image/digitizelt - produce graphical data from image.txt' PuetzUWS [time, price] multifractals "$d_Qmkts"'PuetzUWS calc [time, price] fractals.ndf modelling as continuous systems : "$d_mkts"'PE Schiller forward vs 10yr Tbills/' "$d_PuetzUWS"'0_PuetzUWS PSOmodel notes.txt' #24************************24 #] +-----+ #] ToDos : #] +-----+ #24************************24 #08********08 #] ??Aug2022 #08********08 #] ??Aug2022 #08********08 #] ??Aug2022 #08********08 #] ??Aug2022 #08********08 #] ??Aug2022 #08********08 #] ??Aug2022 08********08 #] 07Dec2021 samitrading blog comment DOW JONES 1929-2021 strongest break out "EVER" !!! Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJ:DJI) 35738.14 18.70 0.05% samitrading 3 hours ago Clear break out with 5 monthly retests. We have one of the strongest break out ever since ever of probably any financial market in the world, this better mean something big to come ! &&&&&&&& Howell - Perhaps due to sub-zero real long-term interest rates (eg 10 year T-bill), with implications of infinite financial asset pricing if expectations are that it will keep going on? (i.e. pay back principle from ever-increasing borrowing in a Treasury-Fed induced Ponzi scheme?). My quip aside, David Fischer's "The Great Wave" book shows a haunting 800 year analysis of pricing suggests we have been in a "price revolution" since roughly 1926 or even before, with "price equilibria" interspersing waves of revolution. (think renaissance, enlightenment, etc - high correlation between society and pricing. Original concept from Wilhelm Abel of Germany, 1935). This exponential curve is even more exponential with covid fear-driven spending. Across history and (political, religious, economic, racial, geographical) systems, the revolutions have progressed and ended pretty much the same way. Many of the attempted solutions have been the same irrespective of the systems, so are these pretty much irrelevant in spite of what we "have to believe"? I didn't include : Side comment - covid is a complete non-pandemic on the scale of history - it could get worse beyond modern cognitive ability and imagination, other than the zombie films? 08********08 #] 03Feb2021 "Fig 5.02 Price movements in ancient Greece, price of barley and olive oil 450-150 BC" +-----+ gimp : crop graph, curve [separate out, make [continuous, mono-color]] /media/bill/Dell2/PROJECTS/References/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/gimped/Fig 5.02 ancient Greece [barley, olive oil] 450-150 BC raw image.xcf /media/bill/Dell2/PROJECTS/References/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/gimped/Fig 5.02 ancient Greece [barley, olive oil] 450-150 BC raw image.png +-----+ digitizelt : digitize graph curves using https://www.digitizeit.xyz/ software $ java -jar "$d_SysMaint""digitizelt graph from image/DigitizeIt.jar" /media/bill/Dell2/PROJECTS/References/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/gimped/Fig 5.01 Price movements in ancient Babylon, wages and prices 1850-1600 BC prices.dat Use an invert sort as number are negative! (use the spreadsheet if data crossed [BC, AD]) $ sort --reverse "$d_PROJECTS""References/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/gimped/Fig 5.01 Price movements in ancient Babylon, wages and prices 1850-1600 BC prices.dat" >"$d_webRawe""economics, markets/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/Fig 5.01 Price movements in ancient Babylon, wages and prices 1850-1600 BC prices.dat" +-----+ LibreOffice Calc : Warehousing graphical data "$d_webRawe""economics, markets/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/1_Fischer 1200-2020.ods" add sheet for each graph-curve, plus a sheet for linear regression - segments for each price [revolution, equilibrium] /media/bill/Dell2/SWAPPER/Website - raw/economics, markets/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/Fig 5.02 Price movements in ancient Greece, price of barley and olive oil 450-150 BC, QNial format.dat +-----+ Set timePoints for transitions between price [revolutions, equilibria], Linear regression of price [revolution, equilibrium] segments onset timePoints : equilibrium revolution equilibrium last_data -1796.061 -1739.991 -1684.230 -1624.393 +-----+ Do singular linear regressions for each time segment /media/bill/Dell2/SWAPPER/Website - raw/economics, markets/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/Fig 5.01 linear regression raw data.dat /media/bill/Dell2/SWAPPER/Website - raw/economics, markets/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/Fig 5.01 prices in ancient Babylon 1850-1600 BC.dat +-----+ GNUplot - create graph of normal data /media/bill/Dell2/SWAPPER/Website - raw/economics, markets/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/Fig 5.01 prices in ancient Babylon 1850-1600 BC.plt +-----+ [calculate, plot] detrended results for each time segment /media/bill/Dell2/SWAPPER/Website - raw/economics, markets/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/1850 BC to 2020 AD prices detrended.dat +-----+ remove from "$d_webRawe""economics, markets/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/0_Fischer - The Great pricing Waves 1200-1990 AD .html" 31Jan2021 NOTE : I am no longer using gimp to enhance the graphs, as this takes a bit of time and I want to finish this whole project off. Instead, I'm using GNUplot to enhance the graphs as well as produce them.

08********08 #] 02Feb2021 ancient Babylon +-----+ gimp : crop graph, curve [separate out, make [continuous, mono-color]] /media/bill/Dell2/PROJECTS/References/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/gimped/Fig 5.01 Price movements in ancient Babylon, wages and prices 1850-1600 BC.xcf +-----+ Digitize graph curves using https://www.digitizeit.xyz/ software >> Oops, have to move java program to own d_SysMaint directory to makeasy to find! $ find "$d_SysMaint" -maxdepth 2 -type f -name "*digitizelt*" $ java -jar "$d_SysMaint""digitizelt graph from image/DigitizeIt.jar" /media/bill/Dell2/PROJECTS/References/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/gimped/Fig 5.01 Price movements in ancient Babylon, wages and prices 1850-1600 BC prices.dat Use an invert sort as number are negative! (use the spreadsheet if data crossed [BC, AD]) $ sort --reverse "$d_PROJECTS""References/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/gimped/Fig 5.01 Price movements in ancient Babylon, wages and prices 1850-1600 BC prices.dat" >"$d_webRawe""economics, markets/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/Fig 5.01 Price movements in ancient Babylon, wages and prices 1850-1600 BC prices.dat" +-----+ Warehousing graphical data "$d_webRawe""economics, markets/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/1_Fischer 1200-2020.ods" add sheet for each graph-curve, plus a sheet for linear regression - segments for each price [revolution, equilibrium] /media/bill/Dell2/SWAPPER/Website - raw/economics, markets/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/Fig 5.01 prices in ancient Babylon 1850-1600 BC, QNial format.dat +-----+ Set timePoints for transitions between price [revolutions, equilibria], Linear regression of price [revolution, equilibrium] segments onset timePoints : equilibrium revolution equilibrium last_data -1796.061 -1739.991 -1684.230 -1624.393 +-----+ Do singular linear regressions for each time segment /media/bill/Dell2/SWAPPER/Website - raw/economics, markets/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/Fig 5.01 linear regression raw data.dat /media/bill/Dell2/SWAPPER/Website - raw/economics, markets/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/Fig 5.01 prices in ancient Babylon 1850-1600 BC.dat +-----+ GNUplot - create graph of normal data /media/bill/Dell2/SWAPPER/Website - raw/economics, markets/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/Fig 5.01 prices in ancient Babylon 1850-1600 BC.plt +-----+ [calculate, plot] detrended results for each time segment /media/bill/Dell2/SWAPPER/Website - raw/economics, markets/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/1850 BC to 2020 AD prices detrended.dat +-----+ remove from "$d_webRawe""economics, markets/Fischer, David 1996 The Great Wave/0_Fischer - The Great pricing Waves 1200-1990 AD .html"

Create a background image for use with multiple graphs

02Feb2021 No longer used - gnuplot itself is now used for background, to avoid extra step with gimp

GNUplot is best used to provide information specific to each graph. By creating a background image, a great deal of repetitive information may be created, which can be used with many graphs. See the gimp image Background grand solar minima and price [revolutions, equilibria] 1200-2020 version 2.xcf.

  • gimp-enhanced graph : Fig 0.01 Price of consumables in England 1201-1993 with revolution-equilibria (copy).jpg # enddoc