/media/bill/PROJECTS/miniProjects/forest fires/0_forest fires.txt www.BillHowell.ca 01May2019 ********** 26Aug2019 What of the links to the source information? I added to the US forest fire graph, it was in "0_References PROJECTS.ods" *********** 26Aug2019 Facebook, Denzil Feinberg posting August 24 at 3:08 PM · Change.org Stop the burning of the Amazon rainforest! This is a needy world event, thanks Shawn & others who are spreading the word and petitions. +-----+ Howell's response : We need an update of https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/4741 Africa seems to be much more of an issue than Brazil, and 2018 was a comparatively low year for Brazil. Fires have long been a concern (effect of active management in the USA perhaps illustrated by http://www.BillHowell.ca/Cool%20stuff/fires,%20Howell%20-%20wildland%20USA%201926-2018.png, and land clearing for expanding populations goes way back to ancient times. I'm always leery of time series filtering screw-ups, but http://www.BillHowell.ca/Cool%20stuff/fires,%20Hoyte%20&%20Schatten%20p161%20-%20USA%20Canadian%20forest%20fires%20and%20sunspots.JPG shows a long-considered sunspot-like signature for [Canada, USA] forest fires. There are also recent papers on European solar-forest fires correlations. Brazil's a pretty advanced country, and I suspect that they may handle it their own way. ************** 09Aug2019 SuspObs 16:51 Global forest fires visualisation from VIIRS satellite https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/4741 This visualization shows active fires as observed by the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite, or VIIRS, from 2012 to 2018. The VIIRS instrument flies on the Joint Polar Satellite System’s Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20 polar-orbiting satellites. Instruments on polar orbiting satellites typically observe a wildfire at a given location a few times a day as they orbit the Earth from pole to pole. VIIRS detects hot spots at a resolution of 375 meters per pixel, which means it can detect smaller, lower temperature fires than other fire-observing satellites. Its observations are about three times more detailed than those from the MODIS instrument, for example. VIIRS also provides nighttime fire detection capabilities through its Day-Night Band, which can measure low-intensity visible light emitted by small and fledgling fires. ********************** 02May2019 cat "/media/bill/PROJECTS/miniProjects/forest fires/190502 USA prescribed mix of acres, number.txt" | grep "^A" >"/media/bill/PROJECTS/miniProjects/forest fires/190502 USA prescribed acres.txt" cat "/media/bill/PROJECTS/miniProjects/forest fires/190502 USA prescribed mix of acres, number.txt" | grep --invert-match "^A" >"/media/bill/PROJECTS/miniProjects/forest fires/190502 USA prescribed number.txt" trend : $'total wildland'.$K$11 $'total wildland'.$C$12:$C$104 $'total wildland'.$K$12:$K$104 *********************************** 23Feb2018 Deeper Look – Episode 23 +----+ http://www.suspicious0bservers.org/dl/february-23-2018/ Observing the Frontier 2018 | Ben Davidson: What To Do With Space Weather Health Information FireFighting comments in the blog Caroline5765, February 23, 2018 At our fire station we are well aware there are more calls during these events and often make reference to the KP index or potential space weather; sometimes in fire house humor. When you first come on duty you sometimes get greeted with “Hey C, welcome to another KP shift.” Or the tones will drop and as soon as dispatch prompts out, somebody will reference it; “bet you dinner it’s a KP 6” or if it is a fire you might hear “da*n, another flare up without the sun…” One time we arrived at a bad 2 motorcycle accident, (they hit each other head on). One of the Medics tending a patient looked up and said in a serious matter of fact voice “this is KP Kosher for sure, get double LZ set up immediately” (meaning it was too bad for ground transport, dispatch for two helio med vacs and get the landing zones set up). Don’t get me wrong, we take it all very seriously, it is just that often times it includes space weather reference. People in the emergency fields are well aware; if only more people in general were attuned maybe there would not be so many calls. Good discussion Ben! btw- the medic who called it a ‘KP Kosher for sure’ was named Ben also. >> Howell uploaded "http//www.BillHowell.ca/Pandemics, health, and the Sun/Hoyte & Schatten year - solar influence on climate & natural systems, graphs.pdf", and blogged : Bill Howell, February 23, 2018, Reply to Caroline5765 Caroline5765 - Thanks for the comment!! ... which is the first that I have seen from a fire department perspective. I am a volunteer firefighter in a tiny town - Hussar, Alberta, Canada. Being on the prairies, we mostly have grass fires and a very few motor vehicle accidents (mostly deer-related is my guess, but some bad accidents), but if you know of any [associations, correlations] sun-fires I'd be interested. I've an old graph on forest fires versus sunspots that is the first shown in : "http://www.BillHowell.ca/Pandemics, health, and the Sun/Hoyte & Schatten year - solar influence on climate & natural systems, graphs.pdf" . Have you seen anything more recent on [urban, rural, natural area] fires? I've also been collected stuff on [rise and fall of civilisations, wars, pandemics, wildlife population dynamics, glaciation modelling, etc] over the years. John Mallary, February 24, 2018, Reply to Bill Howell The only documented solar induced wildfire event I know of that seems legit were the fires in Serbia in 2012. One or two hundred as I recall… The polar electrojet shorted out! Looked like a solar umbral field shorting out in the graphics… A paper was written… Lemme see if I can find a link…ok https://youtu.be/4emMZmbkYlA That’s a 2012 S0 video with a link to the paper studying spaceweather as a possible cause of the massive Serbian fires in 2012, during a geomagnetic storm following the last decent earth facing CME from the last decent “X” Class solar flare with a CME to erupt directly facing Earth. There were similar wildfire outbreaks in 2013, 2016 and 2017. Bill Howell, February 24, 2018, Reply to John Mallary John Mallory - AWESOME!! (and awesome memory!). Thanks a bunch for the link to the Suspicious0bservers.org video from which I downloaded the paper. The authors' comment "... The justification of this approach lies in the belief that it is impossible by direct or indirect activity of man to set fire at the same time to the sites that are geographically separated. ..." is similar to statements in a very interesting description of the Great Fire of Chicago, which occurred near-simultaneously in separate geographical areas (so that cow that kicked over a lantern or whatever must have been part of a Great Cattle Conspiracy?). The Great Fire of Chicago 1871 - descriptions and comments - This is a fascinating collection of eyewitness accounts and comments about the fire, taken from : Charles Ginenthal 1990 "Carl Sagan and Immanuel Velikovsky" Ivy Press Books, New York 359pp Maurice A. Williams 10Mar2005 "A review of Carl Sagan and Immanuel Velikovsky by Charles Ginenthal" New Falcon Publications 1995, ISBN: 1561840750, 448 pages, $136.54, Science). This brings out the importance of [observations, experience] of [observers, workers] like Caroline5765, as standard reports often leave out important clues, even if it takes work to [analyse,sort through] them. Ben Davidson has often referred to electrical grid blowouts and fires being asociated with ?geomagnetic storms?. The Serbian authors suggest electron flows as a possible cause, which makes sense (eg lightning), but they are careful to note that they do not have strong statistics supporting that theme. It's strange that they don't make any comments about very high energy [proton,helium, etc] flows. +--+ Following John Mallory's link : Milan M. Radovanovic, Tomislav M. Pavlovic, Gorica B. Stanojevic, Misko M. Milanovic, Mila A. Pavlovic, Aleksandar R. Radivojevic 2014 "The influence of solar activities on occurance of the forest fires in Southern Europe" http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0354-9836/2014%20OnLine-First/0354-98361400036R.pdf Radovanovic, Pavlovic, Stanojevic, Milanovic, Pavlovic, Radivojevic 2014 The influence of solar activities on occurance of the forest fires in Southern Europe # enddoc