#] #] ********************* #] "$d_web"'My sports & clubs/Perry Kincaide/0_Perry Kincaide KEI notes.txt' www.BillHowell.ca 05Feb2021 initial - gathered a few previous notes To view this file - use a text editor (not word processor) constant width font (eg courrier 10), tab - 3 spaces 48************************************************48 24************************24 # Table of Contents, see ToC file - not listed [here, screen] as it's too large! : # $ grep "^#]" "$d_web"'My sports & clubs/Perry Kincaide/0_Perry Kincaide KEI notes.txt' | sed 's/^#\]/ /' ********************* "$d_webRawe"'My sports & clubs/Perry Kincaide/0_Perry Kincaide KEI notes.txt' 20Apr2023 Weathering the Withering Rise in Interest Rates 11Apr2023 Perry Kinkaide economic survey 06Apr2023 AI - Intelligent or Just Artificial? 30Mar2023 Just a chat (chatGPT) 02Mar2023 Safeguarding You Against Free Expression - Costs & Consequences 16Feb2023 ChatGPT is the new "kid on the block" 09Feb2023 The ChatGPT tsunami ... News & Views 05Jan2023 Will chatbots replace human professionals? 15Dec2022 fusion and [pros, cons] of a transition to a future of abundant energy 19May2022 Kincaides next session - leadership 12May2022 The Revitalization of Nuclear for Energy 14Apr2022 Heather Douglas: Pres Strategic Public Affairs Ltd, Pres-CEO Platinum Roundtable 31Mar2022 hydrogen economy Alberta 24Mar2022 Ling Huang - comments about China's history 3 Kingdoms, Chinese thinking 27Mar2022 - References for my hydrogen presentation 24Mar2022 Ling Huang : 3 Kingdom Strategy - book all Chinese kids must read 20Mar2022 My hydrogen presentation 14Mar2022 KEI Network - Issue #82 - Madness and Civilization (Ukraine-Russia) 03Mar2022 Perry Kincaide, David Yager: How the Western World Lost Its Mind on Energy! 02Dec2021 Decarbonization Tech for Alberta 02Dec2021 The Global Energy Economy 28Jul2021 Climate Change 23Apr2021 Economic Recovery - Fell back. Springing forward ? 16Apr2021 What to expect - post-pandemic! 12Mar2021 Fostering helplessness. Are we being "Commonized"? 26Feb2021 Next stop Creativity - Haley Simons, founder of the Alberta Creativity Network 11Feb2021 On-line Learning - is it working? 28Jan2021 Perry Kinkaid "Part II: The Future of Work?" 28Jan2021 Perry Kinkaid "The Future of Work?" 24************************24 08********08 #] ??Mar2024 08********08 #] ??Mar2024 08********08 #] ??Mar2024 08********08 #] ??Mar2024 08********08 #] ??Mar2024 08********08 #] ??Mar2024 08********08 #] 24Mar2024 Nofil Khan: Claude [Opus3, Sonnet, Haiku], OpenAI [GPT-[5,4,3.5], Gemini[ultra, pro] https://nofil.beehiiv.com/p/openai-dethroned?utm_source=nofil.beehiiv.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=openai-has-been-dethroned OpenAI Has Been Dethroned AI Software Engineers are Here March 23, 2024 08********08 #] 18Mar2024 Christian Beny : Project Management AI (chatGPT) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eDHW-BIN4Lg Revolutionizing Project Management through Artificial Intelligence 77 views Mar 14, 2024 Perry Kinkaide as host introduced Christian Beny who provided an in-depth presentation on the impact and applications of artificial intelligence, specifically ChatGPT, in project management, highlighting its capabilities in data analysis, automation, and augmentation. Participants discussed the potential of AI to enhance various professional fields, including education, military, and healthcare, and the importance of prompt engineering for effective AI utilization. The conversation also touched on the human aspect of technology, emphasizing the irreplaceable value of empathy and care in sectors like healthcare, despite the advancements in AI. Kinkaide question Claude works better? (Twitter - Elon Musk) 08********08 #] 09Jun2023 Thinking About Consciousness and your "image-ination" (youTube) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4xpCBqPTYl4 KEI Network 18 views Jun 8, 2023 The KEInetwork host, Perry Kinkaide, interviewed Dr. Thomy Nilsson, Professor Emeritis, University of Prince Edward Island about consciousness and how the brain's visual system processes sensory input. The discussion supported by informative illustrations, notes the distinction between being awake - conscious, and attention with some reference as well to "free will" and a "conscience." see "$d_SysMaint"'audio/0_audio notes.txt' Transcribe via online speechnotes (Google sign-in) ~10$/70Mb upload ~25min? very long transcribe ~13:30 to (speechnotes.co says roughly 1/2 of upload time...) 08********08 #] 04Jun2023 Thinking About Consciousness - next week's theme David Chalmers 28Nov2022 "Could A Large Language Model Be Conscious" NeurIPS, New Orleans, https://kinkaide.shoutcms.net/uploads/files/Documents/Could%20A%20Large%20Language%20Model%20Be%20Conscious%20by%20David%20Chalmers.pdf (must get NIPS URL...) It got started with a notorious tweet from Ilya Sutskever from OpenAI back in February. It may be that today's large neural networks are slightly conscious. A few months later, there was an eruption in this area, with headlines about Google firing Blake Lemoine, a software engineer who said that he detected sentience in one of their language model systems, LaMDA 2. Thomy Nilsson, Professor Emeritus, Uof Prince Edward Island Thomy Nilsson 04Jun2023 "Glance at the Dance of Photons: The Physics of Light for Vision and Photometry" 87p, https://pressbooks.library.upei.ca/danceofphotons/ "$d_web"'ProjMini/TrNNs-ART/References/Nilsson 04Jun2023 Glance at the Dance of Photons, The Physics of Light for Vision and Photometry.pdf' 08********08 #] 18May2023 Brad Ferguson CEO EcoDevEdmonton - Alberta's Economy and Innovation EPISODE #3. The Role of Government and How Alberta Industries and Professions View Alberta's Economy and Innovation Daryl Winwood - works for ?female Innovation Minister? /home/bill/web/My sports & clubs/Perry Kincaide/230518 Brad Ferguson CEO EconDevEdmonton - Alberta's Economy and Innovation.png Peter MacKinnon, UofOttawa - participating Brad Ferguson - Edmonton has a rural mindset Howell: like stories of radicalism in 3&4th generation after immigration importance of basic research and attraction of talent in research role of the government as a funder, productivity of new graduates is going down governments picking winners is a dark path, over-correct for new technologies increasing technology - bad decisions history books : Peter Lougheed and Wilfred Laurier, entrepreneurial growth if we get too far away, just build a huge government Asia, NAm, Europe - next ?20 years? NorthAmerica will reduce need for government Perry Kinkaide - govt mostly for policy etc pre-boomer generation contrasts HUGELY with last 2 or so generations, eg perspectives in Quebec, BC, much of Ontario, voter demographics and trends some groups want more direct government intervention 08********08 #] 11May2023 what about competitiveness and innovation. I don't hear much about that, but are opportunnities coming up as global costs are rebalancing slightly. or may acclerate towards. We assumme often that we will always have far higher standards of living, but can that change? universities and [local, regional] economy - incentives, including the need to stay competitive for opportunities elsewhere for researchers, may be a constraint? 08********08 #] 04May2023 ELECTION! Choice matters - impacting health and education, jobs and the environment Participants (12 initially when I honed late) - listing can't be copied Kinkaid using chatGPT & Bing to summarize survey results Jeff Ulric commented on Bing summary - wants comments on accuracy, very efficient approach health care - comments on incentives KinKaid - administered mental & ?? health : very mad about resource allocation ?Tom? Nilsson 08********08 #] 27Apr2023 Robert (Bob) Ascah: Weathering the Withering Impact of Rising Interest Rates https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IJF10ZV3Qa0 KEI Network 74 subscribers &&&&&&&& Howell - Interesting perspective that is well worth hearing. I do retain it as part of a self-imposed "multiple conflicting hypothesis" approach, mostly as a comfortable fit into [conventional, conformist] thinking from [academic, government] perspectives. That covers probably only 20-25% of the issues that interest me as a non-expert with a "soft" interest in [economic, financial market, international] themes. It reminds me of [behavioural, moral hazard, political, competitive] factors that affect Keynesian economics. Without some success at generation-ahead forecasting, it's very hard to get excited about concepts whose lags are significant. Here I use ~20 years/"generation" - one of jillions of typical spectral frequency across many subjects. Most relevant to me (so far) is the stunning work starting with Stephen J. Puetz 2009 "The Unified Cycle Theory: How cycles dominate the structure of the universe and influence life on Earth". Haunting echos too of David Fischer's 1989 "The Great Wave: price revolutions and the rythm of history" (started from Wilhelm Abel's work in 1930s), and the historical work of Ibn Khaldum 1410 "The Muqqadimah". Perhaps more interesting to current readers : Ray Dalio 2021 "Principles for dealing with the Changing World Order". 08********08 #] 20Apr2023 Weathering the Withering Rise in Interest Rates >> I joined 1 hour late - missed core part US dollar - loss of reserve currency, crypto knowledge management via LLMs, 08********08 #] 11Apr2023 Perry Kinkaide economic survey 1. Identify address 2. how you view the diversity of your [province, state] economy My guess is that Calgary has traditionally had the wildest ups&downs of large Canadian cities, and that this, together with a strong traditional rural influence, forced diversity. That's all changing rapidly over the last 2 generations, and I'm not up to date on this. 3. most sensitive measures of economic resilience I take resilience as NOT being one or more of the [driver, effect]s above, but an adaptive ability to adapt to [shock, [up, down] trend]s etc in COMPARISON to other urban centers. In other words, given the "hits" that come along, it's not so much an issue of whether the economy is immune to the hit, but how well does it self-repair from irreversible damage (resilience being perhaps more a reaction to downsides, but even upsides present challenges like finding the people for step-jump growth, removing red tape to get the machine started, etc). 4. Sectors of the economy : I said Forestry, wood products; InfoTech; Mining 5. What roles are appropriate for government? My view isn't important. What is important is the long-term trend towards "social engineering" of the financial markets and economy. No-one is looking back at results : I just had a blog exchange about the [frequency, dominance] of economic crashes being comparable with [GDP-scale dumping of money into markets, Quantitative easing etc] as per historical periods from 1872 on. Yes, there is some stabilizaqtion, but how much of it is due to government policy (as opposed to sheer stability of massively larger econmy etc)? How much long-term [attitude, behaviour]al damage is wrought by "moral hazard"?: these policies often promote undesireable behaviours (insurance industry concept)? Furthermore, to me progress is NOT so much driven by better [education, training, management, financial, legal, constitutional]. Although these are important, it is useful to consider them to be also driven by much more fundamental drivers : [math, science, engineering, global markets], but above all by the tech-driven wealth explosion which has enabled all of this. "Losing countries" have long tried to manage consequences through statist enterprise, but as the global economy develops, we may end up in the same situation if our attitudes prevent us from being global competitors. 6. Economic [resilience, diversification] needs an [effective, continually improving] Innovation Ecosystem supporting [survival, growth, retention] of [entrepreneur, SME]s : In the past, I would have more strongly agreed with this. Today, the institutionalisation of the "Innovation Ecosystem" may have a lot of the opposite effect: [politically-correct, woke, people without their money where their mouth is] dominate [political agenda, funding] from Ottawa, leading to massive resource mis-allocation over decades (yes - often science-driven). As for covid - it seems almost as the governments INTENTIONALLY killed [family, small] businesses, to the benefit of mega-chains, which is a (useless) warning that rhetoric may be going in a different direction than actions? In the end, I suspect that today much is due to government-only funded research in universities, with USA financing system and foreign government statist enterprise taking it from there. 7. Province's effectiveness I am NOT in a position to assess this, as I have not gone trough many studies, analysis], and would not form an opinion until I could "sieve" those to separate the chaff, from the wheat, and the wheat from the rare nuggets. 8. Innovation Ecosystem factors Politics has a huge role in [orientation, effectiveness]. Alberta may have an historic advantage since the 1980s, but voters seem destined to join the NDP ranks in a fairly permanent way - just look at Edmonton, and huge shifts in Calgary over the last couple of decades. Forever, analysts in [USA, Canada] have talked about demographic shifts. Just go to the [Zoo, Tyrell museum] where families take their kids. The proverbial [2030-2050] societal crossover is plain to see, and almost all of the new Canadians have a strong socialist [history, personal background, leaning]. 9. Question for [provincial, state] candidates? I don't feel that political [election, debate]s are amenable to the questions that interest me, nor would the context allow frank [discussion, analysis]. That's not a problem: just as in science, real basic progress often has to occur outside of (and invisible to) the [math, science, engineering, policy] mainstream, over [years, decades, millennia]. 10. Bill@BillHowell.ca 08********08 #] 06Apr2023 Michael Durrie: AI - Intelligent or Just Artificial? Michael Durrie, owner and editor of The Digital Economy, Cologne, Germany journalist across a range of subjects Interview of Michael Durrie author of AI - Intelligent or just artificial? BH Bill Howell (Me) Clare Paulson (Host) Perry Kinkaide MD Mike Durrie BM Bogdan Motoc BT Brenda Thibault Bruce Matichuk DA Dale Alton DR Dawn Ringrose HS Haley Simons Jeff Krehmer JU Jeff Uhlich Ken Bainey Mel Head Randal Adcock shirley.mitchell Temma (ryhmes with Emma) Frank Yogi Schulz (he left quite early) +-----+ Howell questions : 1. Please comment on the historic and rising power of Germany in Computational Intelligence (I prefer that phrase to AI). Also, if you have time please pick ONE of the key German figures to describe, some examples (I find these people to be fascinating) : - Wolf Singer broken asynchrony of ?gama rythms? and autism, experimental support for links between attention and synchronous oscillations in the brain - Juergen Schmidhuber (Swiss AI Labs) (he's actually Swiss-Austrian or something, not German?) - a real giant in Neural Networks, Goedel machines? - Georg Zimmerman (ex-Siemens) - ~1000 layer deep Recurrent Neural Network to control energy flows Germany-France-Switzerland-etc due to very disruptive alternate energies - Barbara Hammer (Bielefeld U. Germany) - "AI in the wild" - Jan Peters (Technische Universitaet Darmstadt, Germany) - Robot learning acceleration via imitation of humans (sounds exciting) - for me, not so much the Deep Mind group, which was founded with 2 of Schmidhuber's PhDs if I remember correctly (I am somewhat familiar with this, but maybe not others) 2. Terry Sejnowski (Salk Institute, California) - Sejnowski considers the question "Are machines intelligent" to be not-so-useful, perhaps as it becomes a bag of emotions and entrenched positions. Instead, we should perhaps pay attention to what the machines can say about [individual, group, etc] intelligence over it's diverse aspects. What do you think, and can feedback like that become more [available, useful, grounded] than what we currently have, or add to it? >> I didn't ask this... 3. Profound origins of "surprising performance" of Transformer Neural Networks (TrNNs) Do you have some [speculations, information] that may go beyond the mainstream commentary? The subject "Attention" has been a focus for decades, and the TrNNs seem to be much simpler than "Convolutional Neural Networks" (CNNs), which in turn are vastly simpler than Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs)? 4. Consciousness: Randal Adcock, Jeff Kremer, Perry Kinkaide +--+ Adcock - Q: Can artificial intelligence become self-aware? Can it develop consciousness? A: Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a rapidly evolving field, and while there has been significant progress in developing AI systems that can perform complex tasks, the question of whether AI can become self-aware and develop consciousness is still a matter of debate. Overall, while AI systems are becoming increasingly sophisticated and capable, the question of whether they can become self-aware and develop consciousness is still an open and highly debated topic in the field of AI research. +--+ Kremer - We don't even know what human or biological consciousness is or how it happens. One theory is that it's an emergent quantum phenomenon. We don't have the ability to determine if a machine has consciousness, and if it did, it would be very different from us. +--+ Kinkaide - Should we allow machines to be like us? >> I didn't get a chance to raise this question (verbal, didn't do written) +-----+ economy The economy is fine - it goes [up, down, sideways] as always. Our desire to be protected from its vagaries has always been present, from ancient history. Perhaps the difference today is for GDP-scale government [intervention, social engineering] of the financial markets] to interfere with normal market behaviour. But in the end, we still get the same ups and downs on the longer term, with the exception of technology-based (primarily government-financed and driven) research and technology. And that is becoming far more globally competitive itself (ups and downs again?). A side-effect is the question of the efficiency of [interventions, asset & debt mis-allocations. Furthermore is "too much stability poison for a man's soul?", leading to moral hazard, or are the benefits of extreme risk-taking, backed by government bailouts, a net benefit over the long term? German joke (Juergen - [English, German, French] scientists, I was surprised at a later comment between sessions - arrogance, as I found the comment to be accurate) +-----+ post-conference Jeff Kremer - I wrote an article on the dangers of AI https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/can-we-safely-summon-demon-big-time-engineering-corp/ Happy to connect with anyone attending the meeting today. 08********08 #] 30Mar2023 Just a chat (chatGPT) me - chatGPT, BARD are not just Large Language Models, in a sense they provide a Cognitive [User Interface, Operating System, Applications Programming Iterface] fo a huge space of concepts and applications. This is developing quickly. highly recommend Stephen Grossberg's recent book "Conscious Mind, Resonant Brain". I have little patience for arm-waving and yapping about consciousness when there are serious efforts to define and model it. Right or wrong, Grossberg's book is by far the best I know of, but goes far [deep, broad]er into [neural networks, psychology, etc], far beyond [Transformer, Convolutional] neural networks. I don't know if it will survive the next 10 years, but it will help open eyes. It is written for the public non-expert. +-----+ Participants (22) BH Bill Howell (Me) Clare Paulson (Host) P Perry (Co-host) A ahmadjawad BM Bogdan Motoc ML Michelle Lessard Randal Adcock Mel Head JU Jeff Uhlich Ken Bainey Yogi Schulz Tim Summers HS Haley Simons DA Dale Alton H Heidi.Chorzempa BM barry mehr SI Sajid Ikram AM Art Maat Suliman Gargoum shirley.mitchell Bruce Matichuk S sheil 08********08 #] 02Mar2023 Safeguarding You Against Free Expression - Costs & Consequences Robert McGarvey is an economist, economic historian, strategist and geologist specializing in intangible assets and founder and director of Rethinking Capital HERE. He is an Executive Committee Member of the UK-based Economic Research Council (ERC). Robert has developed a unique perspective on modern capitalism and the deep forces impacting our economy and our lives. Author of Futuromics: A Guide to Thriving in Capitalism's Third Wave. Participants (19) www.BillHowell.ca (Me) Clare Paulson (Host) Perry Kinkaide (Co-host) SM Sinc MacRae JU Jeff Uhlich BG Brian Giesbrecht I IngramL Robert McGarvey Mel Head Tom Dodd DA ale Alton Ken Hein BM barry mehr RK Randy Krebes RA Randal Adcock Sabina Posadziejewski Yogi Schulz ML Michelle Lessard Greg MacGillivray Howell : Robert McGarvey - I appreciate you point of view, but it's a framework that I feel is cloudy and perhaps anachronistic (it is one of many multiple conflicting hypothesis). We are responsible for defining our own individual rights in the context of society? - I like your expression, even if I didn't write it down properly. >> I didn't post Randal Adcock to Everyone 04:52 PM RA Science, too, has become a religion, with scope-creep making claims that are not well founded, poorly reviewed, redacted and censorship. Human nature, egos, will prevail. Many cheerleaders of science have no idea how science really works. Howell - Randal - I was just formulating a comment along those lines : "Consumed by monsters of our own making?" Scientists haven't done themselves a favour on many fronts over the last decades, even though great things continue to advance. Maybe that's always been an issue across history. But the difference now is that easy access to information allows for very critical reviews, and there are always individuals who can see flaws, real often, but often not as well. Howell (to Sabina's comments) - "We are becoming a minority"? It has been a very long train coming. We need the new births, new people energy, etc. But things won't be the same, which is probably as it should be. Howell - Religions begat science to a large degree, in spite of common historical interpretations? I suspect a bit of the same with mythology & ancient Greek Science. Howell - I think there has been a tremednous flip-flop in peopl's [perceptions, attitudes] even long before covid. To me, the current situation's not so bad, and could be seen coming for a long time. Resembles periods of history... 08********08 #] 16Feb2023 ChatGPT is the new "kid on the block" - really smart but not very touchy feely. Maybe that's good thing +-----+ Participants www.BillHowell.ca (Me) Clare Paulson (Host) Perry Kinkaide (Co-host) Mel Head JU Jeff Uhlich PM Peter MacKinnon uOttawa Engineering Greg MacGillivray RC Russ Crawford MK Mark Kolke CL Calvin Li - IRAP S shirley.mitchell OK OMER KAYA DW Dave watters G gord Yogi Schulz RA Randal Adcock BM Barry Mehr Carter Bishop +-----+ Chat : www.BillHowell.ca Clare Paulson Mel Head Jeff Uhlich Perry Kinkaide Jeff Uhlich Meeting Chat Randal Adcock To Everyone 04:42 PM RA Does ChatGPT remember the user dialogues and the user's feedback? e.g., "was this useful?" I.e., Does it learn from dialogue? Does it improve performance over time and usage? You To Everyone 04:44 PM W Randal - My understanding is that earlier versions were "batch trained", but I'm sure that people are working on incremental learning in various ways? Mel Head To Everyone 04:46 PM I've seen one article that said GPT does not retain all of its training data once the word sequence probabilities have been done. That said, without direct knowledge of this and how its algorithms work, The user dialogue may be retained for now and used for later improvement to it... but not use dynamically to make it better from second to second.... at least not yet. Denis Chitipakhovyan To Everyone 04:48 PM DC Hello to everyone Mel Head To Everyone 04:50 PM There WILL be many more than ONE Transformer AI like GPT.... many will be subject-specific Jeff Uhlich To Everyone 04:51 PM JU every percentage point increase in search market share is worth $2B to Microsoft. So they could recoup their $10B investment very quickly You To Everyone 04:56 PM W chatGPT batch tarining was perhaps last done in 2021, not 2001? +-----+ My points : At least 2/5 of my peer reviews for a NN conference this year involve Transformer nets, but they are not not "core papers". what's different with Transformer Neural Networks (self-Attention nets")? Robert Hecht-Nielson's Confabulation Theory for mammalian cognition (2002, book in 2007) "understanding" questions, statements much smaller than current systems, but not "nearly free" (no public access that I am aware of except those willing to do programming to get it to work). exciting ideas Ghost Writer -iterative work with system on compositions quantitative estimates of brain many other systems for some time, but not always accessible, and the hype is a big difference. Beyond "Large Language Models" - a key feature is integration of LLM with complex applications to make them "easy" for the uninitiated. Cognitive User Interface, Cognitive Operating Systems - Microsoft Windows to a captive degree... Augmentation of key facets of peoples lives towards improvement Economy doesn't need people as much anymore in a traditional sense, but there is a potential for greatly increased activity. Perhaps people want to relax, not work more? Hyper-evolution - small step towards that, but much more to come? +-----+ My Reactions : People want an "answer", but sometimes more important are "multiple conflicting" hypothesis, and most of all, the questions and new concepts that people haven't yet expressed. Cogitive systems could help here. Incremental learning has always been a topic of research. Without direct access to their systems (eg chatGPT) one can still hybridize other learning systems with chatGPT to leverage what is there. 08********08 #] 09Feb2023 The ChatGPT tsunami ... News & Views Now with over 100-million subscribers - since November! ChatGPT is a highly advanced AI language model that can generate human-like text with high accuracy and coherence, making it useful for a wide range of tasks such as conversational AI, language translation, and content generation. +-----+ https://mathGPT.streamlit.app !!! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AwVfQZPdwh0 CA 0:00 / 0:28 Demo MathGPT JOSEMANUEL NAPOLESDUARTE 14 subscribers https://finance.yahoo.com/news/photostudy-announces-chatgpt-chatbot-math-182100060.html PhotoStudy announces ChatGPT-like Chatbot for Math Textbooks and their Publishers January 27, 2023·4 min read +-----+ Participants (26) www.BillHowell.ca (Me) Clare Paulson (Host) Perry Kinkaide (Co-host) JU Jeff Uhlich Mel Head PM Peter MacKinnon uOttawa Engineering Yogi Schulz DW Dr. William Green Greg MacGillivray Jeremy Lukan PH Patti Hergott Randal Adcock E Eric.Sjerve DW Dave watters H+ Helen + Paul BM Bogdan Motoc HK Heather Kitteringham RC Russ Crawford CB Cindy Boucher Harold Schroeder S Shyllo OK OMER KAYA S shirley.mitchell B budnorris27@gmail.com BZ Bobby Ziner: Advanced BMT Corp. R RonaChin 08********08 #] 05Jan2023 Will chatbots replace human professionals? https:us02web.zoom.us/j/82390691947 Bruce Matichuk - Doing PhD (final year?). Tranformer models instead of neural networks. +-----+ Chat Watson failed because it was frequently wrong and very expensive. Me To Everyone 4:46:08 PM W Jeff de Cagna - sorry. I guess I targeted the wrong Jeff Jeff De Cagna To Everyone 4:46:27 PM @Bill no worries. I happen to agree with you about the Turing test! Me To Everyone 4:48:56 PM W I have very low internet bandwidth : [audio, video] chunks arrive intermittently, and I won't be able to speak as in recent sessions (new installation of Linux I haven't fixed). Jeff De Cagna To Everyone 4:53:14 PM Now type in “tell me why red meat might be unhealthy for you?” Me To Everyone 4:54:52 PM W 1. Computer technologies have progressively "augmented" professionals, and in specific data processing (example [medical, law]) replaced professionals. That includes classical (old) [data base, search, accounting, management, etc etc], not just the newer [Artifical, Computational] Intelligence areas. In the 1800s, computers were rooms full of highly [educated, skilled] humans doing [astronomical, science, artillery] calculations). I feel that more important questions are : - what is the "minimum economically competitive cognitive threshold of humans" for specific tasks. That has been rising rapidly for generations. The "new" [math, science, technology, application]s are not different. 2. Questions about the impact, threat, opportunity]s of machine capabilityies have been around at least since Alan Turing, von Neuman], and may have been discussed in the 1800s at the time of [Charles Babbage, Ada Lovelace]? 3. All systems are very immature, and there are a huge number of new, basic [math, concept, approach]s. As a rough guess, big revolutions have occured perhaps every 20 years in Neural Networks since at leat McCulloch & Pitts ~1946. 4. Hybrid [human, machine] setups and development have been underway for decades. There seem to be renewed calls for this recently - echos of the past. 5. [Ethic, moral] "fixes" are a BIG focus - my fear is that this will morph into more [woke, politically-correct] oceans af mis-[information, direction], according to the view of those controlling the systems. Those most conceerned with the issue often seem to be the most proactive about forcing their viewpoints on others? The same issue pops up with [mass, social] media etc. I am not optimistic here. Randal Adcock To Everyone 4:57:50 PM Can ChatGPT be used to reverse engineer the true intentions of politicians. E.g., does the politician intend to deliver on promises? Does the politician suffer from some narcissistic personality disorder? I.e., can it read through text to intentions like Neuro-Linguistic Programing with body language? If not, is this capacity coming soon? Me To Everyone 4:57:55 PM W 6. From this meeting's email, I partially question two ideas : [Complex decision-making, Adaptability and programming]. There are many other [problem, challenge]s of course. Randal Adcock - I like your question. While I don't follow it, there are many systems being researched to "read" [text, video] emotion of humans (I think some of this relates to security issues?). Randal Adcock To Everyone 5:04:27 PM If ChatGPT is an echo chamber it risks becoming a reinforcing feedback loop to preserve the status quo and supress innovative thinking. Mel Head To Everyone 5:10:14 PM Who "owns" the LIABILITY if a person implements something that had been described by AI such as GPT? There is some justification for professional organizations to require proper certification etc. for one of their members to perform work that could impact public safety etc.. Randal Adcock To Everyone 5:12:12 PM Nature builds a mutation rate into genes as part of evolutionary learning. A % of the human population are naturally contrarians. This is a survival mechanism in a changing environment. Mel Head To Everyone 5:13:34 PM This 'mutation rate' must be growing exponentially based on the things that are going on in today's world GPT has 'simulated' ANTHROPOMORPHISM..... when will the general user begin to think it has SENTIENCE and possess a CONSCIENCE? A BIG leap? Me To Everyone 5:27:24 PM W Sheesh, I finally connected with reasonable [bandwidth, audio, video] albeit I have very limited data on my cellphone (rarely use it). Now using hybrid [cellPhone, computer] dual logins. Thanks to Brett and iPhone listing in Participants. To: Bruce Matichuk - Big discussions currently (and decades ago) about integrating [connectionist, logic] approaches. Perhaps more hope now with trends. +-----+ Participants : www.BillHowell.ca (Me) Clare Paulson (Host) Perry Kinkaide (Co-host) Tim Summers Mel Head Jeff Brett Duncan (Brett's Iphone?) Peter Lafontaine Bruce Matichuk Jeff De Cagna (he/him/his) Mostafa Yakout Ken Hein Randal Adcock shirley.mitchell Tom Dodd Dale Alton Michelle Lessard iPhone +-----+ My comments : 1. Computer technologies have progressively "augmented" professionals, and in specific data processing (example [medical, law]) replaced professionals. That includes classical (old) [data base, search, accounting, management, etc etc], not just the newer [Artifical, Computational] Intelligence areas. In the 1800s, computers were rooms full of highly [educated, skilled] humans doing [astronomical, science, artillery] calculations). I feel that more important questions are : - what is the "minimum economically competitive cognitive threshold of humans" for specific tasks. That has been rising rapidly for generations. The "new" [math, science, technology, application]s are not different. 2. Questions about the impact, threat, opportunity]s of machine capabilityies have been around at least since Alan Turing, von Neuman], and may have been discussed in the 1800s at the time of [Charles Babbage, Ada Lovelace]? 3. All systems are very immature, and there are a huge number of new, basic [math, concept, approach]s. As a rough guess, big revolutions have occured perhaps every 20 years in Neural Networks since at leat McCulloch & Pitts ~1946. 4. Hybrid [human, machine] setups and development have been underway for decades. There seem to be renewed calls for this recently - echos of the past. 5. [Ethic, moral] "fixes" are a BIG focus - my fear is that this will morph into more [woke, politically-correct] oceans af mis-[information, direction], according to the view of those controlling the systems. Those most conceerned with the issue often seem to be the most proactive about forcing their viewpoints on others? The same issue pops up with [mass, social] media etc. I am not optimistic here. 6. From this meeting's email, I partially question two ideas : [Complex decision-making, Adaptability and programming]. There are many other [problem, challenge]s of course. 08********08 #] 15Dec2022 fusion and [pros, cons] of a transition to a future of abundant energy From: Perry Kinkaide To: Bill Howell Subject: Justa Chat - NUCLEAR FUSION webinar Date: Wed, 14 Dec 2022 19:02:52 +0000 Allan Offenberger - Good general speaker, long-winded, adept at inserting himself into processes? Discussions - horseshit yapping on how Canada can play a role & take a lead! useless, but these are the people who get [elect, appoint]ed Participants (23) www.BillHowell.ca (Me) Clare Paulson (Host) Perry Kinkaide (Co-host) Allan Offenberger Mel Head Greg MacGillivray shirley.mitchell John Burger Bob's iPad Clayton Crawford, Edmonton AB DEAN.EMIRAHMET Jeff barry Yogi Schulz Klaas Rodenburg Kim Brown Stephen Fanjoy Ruth Collins-Nakai Peter MacKinnon Jesse Hahn Ron Maine Eileen Ashmore Randal Adcock +-----+ Also this afternoon : emto Dan Hendrickson sent BEFORE this session 08********08 #] 19May2022 Kincaides next session - leadership 08********08 #] 12May2022 The Revitalization of Nuclear for Energy Another insight of the webinar was recognition of the role that nuclear could play in addressing the world's current and future energy shortages. The war in Ukraine has resulted in the recommissioning of plants in Germany and announcement of additional plans in England and elsewhere. The revitalization of interest in nuclear, also has it's critics. To that end, we want to know more and not simply dismiss nuclear out of hand for reasons that may no longer be relevant. Here is the line-up for this Thursday's public webinar. Join us. The Revitalization of Nuclear for Energy +-----+ Rob Norris, Moderator Sujay McKenzie 1st Pres AECL from Saskatoon >> very interesting, amazing background +-----+ Morgan Brown, An overview of Nuclear for energy GHG emphasis solar 18% capacity factor near much better than [wind, solar] CANDU reactor - proud, one of top 12 technologies last century Ernst Rutherford New Zealand - came to McGill got Nobel when in UK Gilbert Labine discovered uranium in Port Hope Cigar Lake SK highgrade in word, 1/7-1/5 world supply Albert Hahn, Lise Meitner - fission Nature paper 1939 George Laurence Charlottetown, Ottawa work, large-scale uranium experiments Cowe said "go" on stuff Enrico Fermi - 1st fission reactor 1939 D2O best moderator 1942 Cominco Trail BC US contract to make heavy water 1944 Zeep research reactor 1st reactor outside of US 1947 NRX research reactor (Chalk river) NR1 research reacter Whiteshell all experimental reactors shut down Ontario Power Gen - refurbishing 4 units Darlington, Pickering no refurm shtdown 2025, Bruce ?? Small Modular Reactors - Accident in earlier Canadian reactor - backp running 14 months later - todawe couldn't do a safety proposal in that time (Howell - let alone doing anything). +-----+ Robert Walker, Emergence of Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) 1. CDA is tier 1 nuclear nation 2. CO2 idiocy - he likes 3. new nuclear 4. SMR value proposition - multi-tool of world's energy systems 5. new eonomic model 6. paradigm shift needed for huge construction of nuclear over next decades 7. No waste problem - trust problem More climate idiocy ... New designs SMR 300-1000 Celsius bring [capital cost, construction time] down compatibility with renewables this idiot doesn't understand economies of scale at plant level group intellectual masturbation Canadian "Terrestrial Energy" SMR - molten salt HUGE engagement requirments - usual fucking [moron, parasite]s Fool can't see past our dogshit society - rest of world doesn't have to be this dumb Public has nuclear hesitancy - potical contact sport Covax - fucking [liar, MORON, intellectual dogshit]!!! Rob Norris - actually complimented jerk Robert Walker I'm absolutely NOT impressed by Norris on this +-----+ Klaas Rodenburg, The future - from fission to fusion FECC communication Chair, (I should know this guy) CO2 dumb-fuck theme again, of course (no thinkers here) Good overview of approaches fusion 08Aug2022 USA NIF facilitiy in burn zone for fusion JET tokamak magnetic confinement, [Be, W] wall like ITER - record energy 59MJ, but can't go >5 seconds FECC symposium in 2023 Howell chat question : Morgan Brown - good point on the potential for shuttingg down all research because of any incident. That isn't just nuclear. The scary part is, if our society can no longer handle any issues reasonably, why spend so much monerying to develop them here? Will we (are we) heading to a situation where we can only import technologies that have proven themselves commercially elsewhere? Ergo why carry so much research? Bogdan Motoc - was involved with Candu reactor in Romania Personally loves SMRs. Axel Meisen - was surprised that military : 1. doesn't have same approvals 2. won't release SMR technology, so it has to be re-invented >> is he really this naive? Axel question - what is turndown ratio of SMR? Bob Walker - two approaches control systems 25-90% required (safety?), France 40-95% thermal storage in plant - buffer Howell - good answer Morgan Brown - molten salt tank buffers both [nuclear, wind] power Neutron poison buildup, if CANDU trips and not re-started within ?hour or so? have to wait a couple of days 2 type new SMRs - ?helium cooled? and molten salt Kincaide - is Canada good for developing SMRs? Meisen - No - Europe, USA etc if we are not careful, same thing as aircraft, Canada's initial strength will be lost Barry - Canadian problem with regulation, politicians cater to NGOs etc Alta politician said the power of NGOs will be our destruction 08********08 #] 14Apr2022 Heather Douglas: Pres Strategic Public Affairs Ltd, Pres-CEO Platinum Roundtable Overall : again, Perry Kincaide talks too much, interrupts, dominates session - failed fine line faintellectualism is apparent by almost all, trivial thinking covid-19 procurement request in 2016? want Chinese digital current as reserve system? one [monety, tax, military] systems, no sovereignty control public consciousness, AI replace machines return Europe to dominance - no [Trump, Islam,...] Klaus Schwabe - de-populate world to 500 M people -[war, epidemic, starvation], eliminate non-elite [Chinese, Japanese] only 300 people call all shots transhumanism, eternal life Trump - killed his politics with covid, cheated election Cyrus Para - 2019 warned Chinese bioweapon coming (DARPA warning?) covid - Winnepeg & Chapel Hill USA targeted weak, vitamin [C,D] deficiencies Canada <40 years age highest levels of suicide since ?forever? covax passport, control over [bank account, food, travel, etc] Khazikstan has fallen it down bank access if no covax[, passport] China wants to rule [Earth, heavens] extinguish whites Liberal caucus leaked secret document Oct2020 - timelines lockdown Q2 transition to universal basic income ?? travel checkpoints declare international collapse - IMF world reset program all who refuse to isolation facilities Canada really sucks Great awakening US military forecasting AI system, worm-holes etc (I've heard of this once before) +-----+ Questions : Dawn Ringrose : good presentation first noticed with lifting of covax mandates shocking - how much censorship Jordan Pederson talking to Brian Peckford Trish Wood 5th estate later : how can this happen? why are we waking up just now? 1960s or 70s 70% of population defers to authority Great Reset is symptomatic of this - haven't considered will of people Kincaide : 50% of population below IQ 100 - want security Mike Hollingshead : personal opinions, nothing stood out later : English dominance from self-organisation & civil war, sects with Cromwell won but didn't know how to make government work, collapsed like DNA culture, Dayists? and religion USA humanists versus Protestants Heather - Canadian political leaders are members of World Economic Forum (WEF) later : people most hard at the time time are first to self-organise later : smart guy will manage things is own way Dale Alton - children? Heather - parents will not own children Kincaide - giving choices, not necessarily to private corporations family is vestigial organ, state is authority Heather Hollingshead : Rebel news denied license Alton : framing again, faith rights? Heather : transhumanism Alton : Liberal-NDP following Great Reset Hollingshead : majority want comfortable life, will go along later : I was considered to be a conspiracy theorist on this only a couple of years ago Greg MacGillivray - what is a work response? Heather - I stand for freedom later : framing look : 1st Industrial revolution, people to cities, public health 2nd electricity 3rd digital 4th AI Great Reset is re-framing Elona Malterre - where will Great Rest government be placed +-----+ Chat : Jesse Hahn : https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/content/documents/Agenda21.pdf Dale Alton : Yuval Harari WEF 2020 Keynote address https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gG6WnMb9Fho&ab_channel=YuvalNoahHarari Chuck Missler on Transhumanism https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xkJe9re-8AI later : War In Ukraine Is The WEF’s Doorway To Global Technocracy. https://davidicke.com/2022/03/11/war-in-ukraine-is-the-wefs-doorway-to-global-technocracy/ WEF's Klaus Schwab's Prediction on Global Energy, Food Systems & Supply Chains. https://rumble.com/vz2qrb-wefs-klaus-schwabs-prediction-on-global-energy-food-systems-and-supply-chai.html?mref=ah9c7&mc=cfcoh SLaw : jagmeet singh of NDP party is also part of WEF. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mD-ioJM8v64 Chip in Pill discussed at WEF. https://www.bitchute.com/video/nuo5JiXSMcGi/ Trudeau on WEF. https://thecountersignal.com/trudeau-gives-romantic-speech-to-the-wef/ Way to go Perry! Great subject to discuss! later : The Government of Canada, Air Canada and two major Canadian airports have partnered with the World Economic Forum (WEF) on a digital ID project that could see a social credit-like system be required for travelling. https://thecountersignal.com/canada-is-partner-in-wef-program-to-bring-digital-id-to-travel/ Later : Jack Dorsey, owner/creator of Twitter was censoring anyone speaking against the global elites narrative. Maybe Musk will return open dialogue? Mel Head : World IQ by country https://www.google.com/url?sa=i&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.arealme.com%2Fiq%2Faverage-iq-by-country.html&psig=AOvVaw2I5EcbcYrmMxcPijxB5RgU&ust=1650063976546000&source=images&cd=vfe&ved=0CAkQjRxqFwoTCIiQ7bvVlPcCFQAAAAAdAAAAABAD Dawn Ringrose : Trish Wood (former Fifth Estate journalist) has an interesting interview with Kyle Kemper, Justin Trudeau's half-brother. He speaks to the reason why Trudeau might be beholden to the WEF. &&&&&&&& Howell questions, comments : I didn't ask anything, kind of chasing tails discussions on the basis of bad [thinking, context] As a force of darkness, I don't believe that I have a right to any opinion nor to exist. I like China because they will keep me quiet and maybe dead. Great Reset is an attempt to be the elite leaders of something that may happen anyways. They have few origindeas, and no Cognitive means of coherently putting them together. David Fischer's "Great Wave" book on commodity prices over the last 800 years shows this well. Ray Dalio's book "Changing World Order" discusses the rise and fall of nations over the last 6-800 years (more for China, with sparse commentary on ancients). I haven't fedd book, but a year or two ago he suspected thatat the US will decline (debt, internal conflict, etc), with China rising, then India. Stephen Cohen - aboriginal schooling same thing 08********08 #] 31Mar2022 hydrogen economy Alberta Dan Antoniuk, Applied Quantum Materials (AQM) Dark Materials Inc. website coming soon >> sounds like BrilliantLightPower of Randell Mills Dan Antoniuk. Applied Quantum Materials (AQM) +-----+ Public webinar - Alberta High on Hydrogen : +--+ Yogi Schulz Yogi Schulz was a founding partner at Corvelle Consulting. We specialize in project management and information technology-related management consulting. Corvelle works primarily in the upstream oil & gas industry. Yogi has led the selection and implementation of geotechnical, field operations, production revenue accounting, and land & contracts systems. Yogi writes regularly about energy industry issues. His columns appear in BOE Report and EnergyNow. He recently presented on Decarbonization for the KEI Network. Yogi has presented at many oil & gas and information technology conferences. Yogi writes a regular blog for ITWorldCanada.com. Yogi has written for the Microsoft website and appeared on CBC Wild Rose Forum. He has written monthly columns for Computing Canada and The Calgary Herald that address IT management issues. He has taught several courses in The University of Calgary Management Development Certificate Program and the Faculty of Management. Mr. Schulz has over 40 years of Information Systems experience, of which 30 have been spent as a consultant. Before founding Corvelle, he worked as a senior consultant with DMR Group Inc. He holds a B. Comm. from The University of Calgary, is a member of CIPS and holds its ISP designation. He served as a member of the Board of Directors of the Professional Petroleum Data Management (PPDM) Association for 20 years. +--+ Bill Howell Bill Howell has a diverse background and broad interests. Plant Operations (in French) Alcan AlF3 plant Arvida Quebec; Physical Scientist at Natural Resources Canada (NRCan), Ottawa - iron control in hydrometallurgy, uranium solution direct-to UF4; Research Engineer ICI at Canadian Fracmaster Calgary - fraccing fluid rheology; ICI lab research Mississauga - H2S removal, biotech pasturization, plant seed coatings (including critique of major ICI Agriculture polymer coatings), Oleum to SO3 pilot plant wrap-up, process modelling; ICI Montreal - NRCan - Research marketing to Western Canada, Business Development, Research Manager, [Technical, Management], Secretary for 3 major [corporate, university, government] consortia on [diesel emissions, underground mining automation, hydrogen fuel cells for underground mining], corporate [battery, [electric, hybrid] vehicles]], Canada's Action Plan 2000 Mining R&D program, various policy-science committees - for example social media policy-actions program reports on looking to the future. He received his BSC in Chemical Engineering in Calgary 1978 and MSc 1986. +--+ Brent Lakeman Brent Lakeman is Director for Edmonton Global’s Hydrogen Initiative, where he is leading the Metropolitan Edmonton Region’s activities to position the region as Canada’s preeminent hydrogen hub. Brent collaborates with other regional partners in the transition to this low carbon fuel. Activities include working closely with other partners, including the Edmonton Region Hydrogen Hub, to attract industries to the region, grow the Region’s hydrogen value chain and support economic development within the Region. Prior to joining Edmonton Global, Brent served as the Executive Director for teams within the Alberta government focused on the growth and diversification of the province’s economy, with a strong focus on the clean technology, life sciences and digital technology sectors. Brent has worked to foster partnerships between advanced technology enterprises and Alberta's research and innovation system to drive growth of the knowledge economy, attract investments and accelerate diversification. Brent has also had leadership roles at Alberta Innovates Technology Futures and the Alberta Research Council, including leading the organizations carbon and environmental management. Brent has over 30 years of experience working on Alberta’s technology, energy, environment and economic diversification priorities. Brent holds a Masters Degree in Public Administration from Queen University. 08********08 #] 24Mar2022 Ling Huang - comments about China's history 3 Kingdoms, Chinese thinking I lost my notes... 08********08 #] 27Mar2022 - References for my hydrogen presentation Notes to accompany slides : http://www.BillHowell.ca/Projects - mini/hydrogen/0_Howell - hydrogen future Alberta notes.txt Alberta hydrogen roadmap : https://www.alberta.ca/hydrogen-roadmap.aspx Standing Wave Reformers : http://standingwavereformers.com/about/ Natural Gas Decomposition (NGD) – thermal decomposition of methane into hydrogen gas and solid carbon ?city? USA Ekona Power : https://www.ekonapower.com/ Burnaby, BC China underground gas storage (CO2 potential...) : https://blogs.edf.org/energyexchange/files/2019/05/DevelopingUndergroundGasStorageinChina.pdf 08********08 #] 24Mar2022 Ling Huang : 3 Kingdom Strategy - book all Chinese kids must read very good description of Chinese [attitudes, development, foreign relations] video : https://us02web.zoom.us/j/85896241732 Putin will not be in poor for much longer 08********08 #] 20Mar2022 My hydrogen presentation Howell - hydrogen future Alberta 08********08 #] 14Mar2022 KEI Network - Issue #82 - Madness and Civilization (Ukraine-Russia) COMMENTS & CONTRIBUTIONS - not necessarily representing the views of the KEI Network Russia's economic vulnerability. Highlighting the country's socio-demographic and economic current and growing problems. Mike Hollinshead HERE Putin's vison of Russia - the long view. Pat Murphy via Troy Media. HERE Winston where are you? Drawing a parallel with times and leaders in the past. Eric Newell HERE While the west raged on about ESG, it's leaders ignored Putin's threats. Elona Malterre HERE Lesson learned. "Following the science" in managing Covid was not enough. Thomy Nilson HERE 08********08 #] 03Mar2022 Perry Kincaide, David Yager: How the Western World Lost Its Mind on Energy! Howell's questions : David Yager - You refer to "fake news" as arising with the internet, and loss of news verifiers in the media. This is interesting, as I feel that fake news has been around for thousands of years, including modern textbooks. There is tremendous disinformation on the web, and unbelievably good sources as well, often complete amateurs who carry a theme, sometimes for years, sometimes better than almost all experts. Have you ever felt that way? Gordon Howell - not my cousin I would welcome any discussion on solar PV after this zoom session. I have been working with PV for 39 years. My contacts are: Gordon Howell, P.Eng. Howell Mayhew Engineering Edmonton 1 780 484 0476 ghowell@hme.ca phto 20:42 03Mar2022 one of PV pioneers in Canada 08********08 #] 02Dec2021 Decarbonization Tech for Alberta Canadian Pacific expands Hydrogen Locomotive Program to include additional locomotives, fueling stations with Emissions Reduction Alberta grant - https://www.cpr.ca/en/media/canadian-pacific-expands-hydrogen-locomotive-program-to-include-additional-locomotives-fueling-stations-with-emissions-red Howell - Mark Summers - Many field trials have been run with hydrogen buses etc. Are there special [technologies, advances] being tested in Alberta, ormain issue familiarisation for those who would ultimately manage deployments? Hydrogen in conventional gas pipelines - are effective inspection techniquesavailablle to detrmine hydrogen embrittlement on ge distributions systems (even if metal film or coatings prevent most of that)? Axel Meisen - Does the world have to wait for ITER success, or is there a chance that innovative smaller scale project short-cut to commal success? For example, there is an "intertial fusion" (?) concept in BC that looks surrealistic, I'm not able to judge that. I think Saskatchewan researchers have been looking at proton-Boron11, but I cn't remember if anything is going forward. Perry Kincaide - It was a big surprise to me that you were involved in earlier versions of the Fusion Energy Council of Canada. How did you get involved, and what do you think about the rate of progress on fusion? 08********08 #] 02Dec2021 The Global Energy Economy Eric well, moderator - likes to hear himself talk Economics of CO2 reductions has a very long modern history Some key analysts over the last 20+ years : Bjorn Lomborg, Netherlands Ross Mckitrick(?spelling?) of Guelf Robert Lyman - retired from Natural Resources Canada and other departments I forget many more It's strange - I just finished a journal peer review of a mathematical model of navigation via [grid, place] cells, plus reading a couple of others on how mapping groups types of rentinal ganglion cells. Mix that with Marshall Mcluhan's "media is the message" (never liked that Gutenberg Galaxy), and it really starts looking like the botched thig of modern politically-correct Western societies. 08********08 #] 28Jul2021 Climate Change My comment to post : The real issue behind the the theme that "CO2 is the primary driver of climate since 1850" (original form presented as iron-clad truth) has nothing to do with the climate whatsoever. The real issue is : "... How does one [describe, explain] catastrophic failure of [rational, logical, scientific] reasoning by essentially all scientists? Why is this the rule rather than the exception across all areas of science? Why is this failure often associated with thinking and behaviours that can only be described as SCREAMINGLY [AND, OR] cart [dishonest, dysfunctional, delinquent, hypocritical, delinquent, back-stabbing, parasitic, cowardly]? Under which conditions does this apply, and under which (most) conditions do the opposite descriptors apply? Why is the failure of [rational, logical, scientific] reasoning sometimes a "good thing rather than a bad thing"? It seems to me that this tends to apply to all of us? In profound ways, the "dark view" of the failure of reasoning is ultimately more [hopeful, beautiful] than the opposite context. Why is the progression of science fashion to cult to religion so common? Small sub-sets of the overall issue above : - the progression of mainstream scientific concepts from fashion -> cult -> religion - The beliefs of [individual, group, mainstream] scientists can [flip, morph] almost overnight. The scientists are often not even aware that their beliefs have radically changed, and (rarely) don't seem to realize that they are now disciples of concepts that they have attacked for a long time. Furthermore, critical [data, analysis] may not have changed at all for perhaps decades or centuries, and therefore cannot explain the flip. Thomas Khune (paradigm shifts, ??) and Karl Popper (a theory must be disprovable?) seem nice but hugely inadequate. Scientists : <1 in 10k are "strong thinkers", <1 in 1M are "[creative, revolutionary, breakthrough] thinkers", but these classifications are NOT a dependable property of the individual, and possibly can be manifested by anyone, including, or especially, those outside a domain of expertise. ..." Don't add! (keep simple) : Science remains as always my main [interest, hobby], and together with engineering was a common theme through most of my career. I am not a professional scientist, nor am I a remotely comparable thinker to strong scientists. This has been a major background theme for me since ~1988. Dichotomies are usually a fudge for complex situations, but here I keep it simple. "Multiple conflicting hypothesis" : don't throw out ideas; obliged to retain mainstream scientific consensi over history; pragmatically limited to 2 or 3 in detail - include the current mainstream. Sun, astronomy, Earth - [random, scattered, rare] comments : - What is the Sun? - Total solar irradiance versus a "full deck of [physics, astronomy] cards" (which we do NOT have anyways). - why is no-one much good at prediction? What is wrong with moderen time-series analysis? - SAFIRE testing of an electric model of the Sun (Aureon energy [fusion power, transmutation confirmed [under a vaccum, temperature < 5 kCelsius] 08********08 #] 23Apr2021 Economic Recovery - Fell back. Springing forward ? MODERATOR Mark Benning https://www.linkedin.com/in/markbenning/?originalSubdomain=ca is an experienced entrepreneur and successful investor. He is a general partner with Sprout.vc, a seed-stage venture capital firm that invests in innovative Western Canadian B2B and SaaS companies. He founded Pitchfest.org and was a judge at the startup pitching event in 2019 in Edmonton. 321 growth academy in Calgary PITCH ORGANIZERS Zack Storms zack@startuptnt.com https://www.linkedin.com/in/zachary-storms-81768720/ is the founder and chief-organizer of Startup TNT, a community of entrepreneurs, scientists, and innovators that have fun, make friends, and build companies together. Startup TNT is hosted every Thursday for a happy hour and an investment Summit. Startup TNT reports that $1.4 million was invested into 10 Alberta startups by 70 investors in 2020. Prepare, prepare, prepare pitch, Lack of enthuasiasm how to retain talent in Alberta? at seed funding stage, access talent ?Craig Alias? in Calgary has ideas give them access to ??internet problems?? younger people forget how much ground has already been done in Alberta what is missing in Alberta? what Russ just said - educate high-net-worth individuals there is a lot of wealth here - but without angle invest experience a lot of Alberta wealth goes into international stock markets we are going to get used to working online Michael Overduin https://www.linkedin.com/in/overduin/ Michael Overduin is the founder of DiscoveryLab, an independent forum for researchers leading new ventures, spinouts, startups and SMEs to present their plans to business professionals and investors each quarter, with over 230 presentations from a diverse fields and stages over 22 events in the past 4 years. failures : teamwork ethic, diversity of views&talents, many things fail, bio - 10 year patent horizon, be honest, understand customers, needs - don't just push technology what should entrepreneurs do differently? do practice runs to develop story & pitch be willing to listen to criticism how to retain talent in Alberta? we need to work at the interface, that's where ideas grow sell your region - we all have to be ambassadors government we need experienced Entrepreneurs at Discovery Labs time, not so much cash side conversations are critical - hard to do online Rus Matichuk https://www.linkedin.com/in/rusmatichuk/ is the Executive Vice-President of Bio-stream Diagnostics. Rus has launched and helped develop several industry associations and programs and has served as a board member of small business and not for profit associations, including: the Alberta Clean Technology Industry Alliance, Deal Generator, VenturePrize, Banff Venture Forum, InfoTech Alberta, and the Innovation Network Collaborative. 50/50 what you say and how you say it (not 95% what) 3 things for investors : rapid & sustainable gr, scale, profitability failures : entrepreneur lies to themselves conservative projections, target market gazillion dollars, no direct competition, cash-flow positive in 12 months, business model holes - lack of familirity with business drivers etc near term operating plan - clear capital requirements investors go to sleep - keep them engaged & bait hook, interest & viability earl people get holed-up in [home, offices] but random connections are critical how to retain talent in Alberta? They need to go where its right for their business Don't fear, many will coback to family, or tap into Alberta need forums like this to heltackle problems with companies Kaufmann Foundation in ?Kansas? -critical to spawn-seed of innovative companies 5k$ is enough to play with education of investors is as important as educating entrepreneurs what is missing in Alberta? access to customers, Alberta isn't a big market covid is forcing us to work differntly, some things won't go back, but trust needs contact abd wewant to connect again Deborah James Tech Edmonton being wound down (after 15 years), UofA will take this Discovery Lab promotion new system large RFP just out from Alberta Accelerates Perry Kincaide Tech Edmonton did good ob of building relationships My network gatherings led to Alberta ??? problem is entrepreneurs - don't nknow how to capialize on university stuff no longer nouveau riche - we're beyond that, it's the fun of building companies get Albertans interested in Alberta - for future kids Baby Boomer transfer of wealth is critical,avoid big wealth tax Adriana Lopez Forera - working on investor tax credit, Boomer re-invest? Bud Norris started 20 businesses There is no best business, it's about the best opportunity at the time &&&&&&&&& Howell question Perry Kincaide's comment last week regarding maybe unicorn, but many sell business to US, ROW Interesting Compare Canada to Finland - Nokia-Nortel, advanced computing 800 poud gorillas - what are our weaknesses in Alberta? venture capital - but noveau riche in Calgary more active outside of oil industry now? (last week Dee Ann Benard) Most [science, tech] that I think about are in an internal context. How many concepts require and INITIAL international basis? How well do international connections work? bitCoinWell.com of Edmonton is a great example (speaking as a crypto-incompeten. They had the best concept for Canadian challenges that I ran into in January-February. 08********08 #] 16Apr2021 What to expect - post-pandemic! Malcolm Bruce - Foreigners (Far East) don't believe Alberta can provide energy internationally (can't get through BC) Mary Moran - Oil&Gas just won't generate same jobs in future, and office occupancy is 30% downtown technology is no longer a sector - cuts across all economy Todd Hirsch - AltaTreasBranch Mark Carney quotes ??! bullshit printing money does not create inflation, depending on the circumstances - conclusion of Italian Bankers in 15th or 16th century. I would be surprised if this realisation doesn't go pack to primary ancient civilisations financial asset inflation is currently ~75%/year (CPI is almost irrelevant for many purposes) Dee Ann Benard - Executive Director for the Rural Development Network: Alberta Alberta Royal Development Network (now national) - rural, homelessness, housing Eleanor Miclette - Manager of Economic Development for the Town of Canmore, Sharon MacLean - Statist drive of economic development, including venture capital, has long been used. I don't think pure [governt In the Ottawa area, [Northern Telecom, Mitel, Newbridge Networks] were very interesting, as are the defense and [university, government] research profit hubs. 08********08 #] 12Mar2021 Fostering helplessness. Are we being "Commonized"? Howell questions : 1. Rather than "commonized", would "commoditized" be a better term for some of the concerns being expressed. In other words, data related to your [consumption patterns, opinions, activities] is bewarehoused and sold. Rather than "homogenizing" people (as the term "mmonize" seems to suggest) this process does the opposite : it really does a vastly better job off seeing you as an individual and anticipating not only your current [focus, preferences] but how those are like to change in a changing environment or as you will change. 2. Decline of hope / rise of hopelessness, portraying today as the bleakest of times This theme strangely overlaps some of my recent reading and work, even though it isn't a focus of mine. Rather than being focussed on the "new" contexts of covid-9 or the current tech revolutions, what interests me most about this theme is how it seems to repeat during similar, with the same basic features, across at least the last millenium, and likely across all of history. Is this something that others have also looked into? I am not enthusiatic about astrology, but many are, and given how astrology-like patterns come up in [science, history] too often for my comfort, what other people are thinking interests me. Ken Barrie comment on China 3. Are we entering a better "period of enlightenment" even though it may not look like that now? Author Sacha Dobler's "Solar History" book enthusiastically forecasts a great period of social advancement soon, My own [astronomy, Earth Sciences, history] modelling was less optimistic and conclusive, as it was more focussed on natural problems [climate, drought, flood, earthquakes, volcanoes,etc]. 08********08 #] 26Feb2021 Next stop Creativity - Haley Simons, founder of the Alberta Creativity Network Advocate for creativity, innovation, and creative development in education, culture, and economic sectors. Instigating and developing creativity initiatives throughout and between sectors. Creativity is the driving force behind our greatest ideas, our most comprehensive solutions, and our profitable enterprises. The very future of our communities depends on imaginative, creative, innovative solutions to profound and complex challenges, and on our ability to nurture and harness imagination to creatively solve problems. PRESENTERS +-----+ George Tzougros, Wisconsin Arts Board ICI Imagination, Creativity, Innovation https://www.ted.com/talks/sir_ken_robinson_do_schools_kill_creativity Sir Ken Robinson - Do schools kill creativity? - #1 Ted talk of all time +-----+ Michael MacDonald, Michael MacDonald Films Partnerships with multi-nationals (hypocrite) Also local rock band work with film company Necessity of arts to fit in with econos (wow - rare for an artist to say that) Play is central to creativity +-----+ Lorenz Sigurdson, Engineering, U Alberta Engineering creativity from adversity Necessity versus Adversity as drivers of creativity Constraints of nature - science laws etc Richard Feynman - Technology must triumph over public relations, as nature cannot be fooled Case study : man-poweered flight - CalTech engineer +-----+ Howell -> Lorenz Sigurdson fractional order calculus hippocampal prosthesis memristor circuit design - same old, in the end? +-----+ Chat Perry Perhulak - A quick view on creativity from my view …https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a-Cji81AQ3Q&t=32shttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a-Cji81AQ3Q&t=32s 08********08 #] 11Feb2021 On-line Learning - is it working? Cathy King - Managing Director of Alberta Artificial Intelligence Institute Wants more money in this area for teachers to develop programs. Right now on-line is restrictive. +-----+ Chats (only a few) Howell - What portion of students learn best on-line, ran in a classroom? I ask because I was skeptical, however a cousin of mine has long worked in hi-tech careers (now advanced security for big corporate, government systems), and never did in-class courses for it. My oldest daughter only ex celled with online, and my younger daughter switched to online. No going back? Colin - I suppose it depends on the subject matter and the learning style of the student. I prefer online learning for programming because it lets me learn at my own pace. Adriana - @bill AI has a big role to play as a helper for teachers. AI is great at finding patterns. Humans are better at nuance and interpretation Randal ADCOC..tive - Our online session today is an interesting experiment in adult online learning. Is it working? Howell - Adriana Lopez Forero : I joined late. Did you discuss the use of "AI" technologies? Did you ever attend Geoffry Hinton talks while at Uof Toronto? Howell - Is a key problem that [students, teachers] have grown up learning in-class, but new learners might naturally adapt better? Even students with difficulties, perhaps - finding groups with similar challenges and benefitting from mutual help? Howell - Adriana - what "kinds" of "AI" do you focus on? Do you see the "Computational Intelligence" (CI) areas [Evolutionary Computation, Neural Nets (including Deep Learning), Fuzzy Systems, etc] as fundamentally different from classical "AI" (reason-based) and machine learning (the latter two claim to subsume all areas, but to me that glosses over the big differences). Howell - Joseph Batty - Interesting comments from your daughter. Changing education of the educators takes time, especially for huge education systems? Generations, not years? 08********08 #] 28Jan2021 Perry Kinkaid "Part II: The Future of Work?" Bruce Matichuk - Uof A affiliated? co-founded several AI-type companies, health monitort launched, funded GPG 3 - writes text looks human ?Dali? - generates imager a theme Software observed PacMan being played, then wrote code for PacMan Howell : Bruce Matichuk - It amazes me when I see people such as yourself (and Ling Huang) with the ability to adapt new technologies and build business with them. How do you combine [market, technical] research and decide what to go forward with? ave you changed your approaches radically with time? Dale Alton : Humanizing the great reset wealth managment Cdn Fed Indep Businesses Maslow's hierarchy of needs Howell : Dale Alton - Although it's important to build "conceptual frameworks" for handling anticipated changes, to what extent do you think that our successful adpatations will come from this kind of thinking, as opposed to unanticipated concepts arising from practice? Laura Belle : 2021 The Future of Work blah-blah - not my bag Bud Norris - understandings - not productive today Randal Adcock, Wayfinders Business Co-operative Cannot afford to be Luddites Howell : Perry Schulak - Joseph Tainter's "The collapse of complex societies?" BK - humans are lazy, what will kids do? Government to create jobs so people work and don't just sit at home. Gerald Jackman - ??? when we have choices - are we making choices as individuals?, by AI entity? Ling Huang we will alwaysd a way China - managers deal with multi-year plans, Canadian managers firefighting Jesse Hahn blog HI Randal, Perry and Bill, you might appreciate the perspective from James C. Scott’s book which takes a contrarian view of how/why societies were formed and the civil entropy or collapse that ensued and why: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Against_the_Grain:_A_Deep_History_of_the_Earliest_States One might consider it the history of work ;-) Howell : Jesse Hahn - Thanks for the link. From a rapid look, sounds interesting, or at least it's not a follow-on of Jared Diamond's "Guns, Germs, and Steel" (I'm not a big fan). Right now, I'm digitizin data from David Fischers "he Great Wave" on commodity pricing history My BIG comment : Crazy postulates - here meaning unproven starting assumptions : postulate 1 : Most [physical, intellectual] work in advanced economies is now done by machines (physical for many generations). Intellectual? - yes, and often classical information processing is beyond the capabilities of even the experts, even though they programmed it. It's certainly far more [complex, detailed, accurate, reliable] than most people could achieve. postulate 2 : The "economically competitive Cognitive level" is rising very fast, exceeding an ever-greater fraction of humans, even if they had the [chance, time] to program it. postulate 3 : As soon as computers became widely available, [computer, human] hybrids are standard in advanced economies. Even word processing falls into this category. As for "Hardware enhanced" augmented cognition, apart from [cochlear, retinal] implants, I am only aware of Ted Berger's "hyppocampal prosthesis implants". This faces hurdles going further with humans (eg Alzheimers), but at least rats achieved telepathy of sorts. postulate 4 : The economy is less and less sensitive to the overall employment of humans. This postulate struck me as result of covid-related impacts which, albeit important, are far less than what I anticipated. Granted, unbelievable ramp-up of debt has helped for now, but that is a story in itself. This opens up huge opportunities for greater flexibility in what people do. postulate 5 : "New" technologies such as Deep Learning Neural Networks (dating back at least to Ivenenkho's work in Moscow University in the 1960's, at about the time of the Cuban Missile crises and the Vietnam Tet offensive, and certainly with Kuhunio Fukishima's neocognitron in ~1981) aren't so much a [boon, threat] for lower-skilled employment responsibilities, but are more an issue for the highest end of human capabilities (e.g. top-level [legal, medical] cart [diagnosis, creativity]). Perhaps humans are more-and-more becoming [high quality, cheap, dexterous] robots in the workplace? Conclusion : I don't know what the answers are, and where to start with respect to future careers, except that it's fun spinning off crazy postulates. 08********08 #] 28Jan2021 Perry Kinkaid "The Future of Work?" Howell's questions : Minimum economically competitive cognitive threshold Covid-19 - policies not as [disruptive, damaging] economically as I thought, EXCEPT massive debt loads hybrid being - neither human nor machine, but both Roy Hendrickson - resigned from investment world, to get involve in sustainable initiatives agricultural products talk about future of work - high tech, creative, digital Francis Bacon quote - to the effect that we stick to out opinions no matter how bad chart of 800AD - present, with dark ages to 1400AD [renaissance, reformation, Enlightenment] >> Roy Hendrickson - It was strange to see your historical chart 800AD, with emphasis on the [renaissance, reformation, Enlightenment]. Over the last omonntI've been working on a kind of "quantitative history" based on records of pricing [agriculture, wages, interest rates] (not so good on debt). Many "very modern" ideas have very long roots. Jacquie Clarke microschool - single-teacher setup, according to students' needs Ling Huang RoboCoach concept Autism - verbal, attention disorders, paying customer sastisfaction Stakeholder Statisfaction Framework >> Howell What is robo-coach and how does it help? How does this relate to other initiative like Cdn National Institute of the Blind? Did you get lessons from efforts like that? digitization Anyone is interested in RoboCoach or our digital service by ASD employee, please connect me at ling.huang@technologynorth.net or mobile 780-953-6863, Thank you! Tom Dodd - app development company [founder, leader] employed an autistic person hard for teamwork, could't know what he was thinking Bruce Matichuk - building health diagnostic system? Howell : Bruce Matichuk - Is Deep Learning (an Edmonton strength) an important part of your health ?diagnostic? system? If s what fraction of "machine learning" does it account for? Ling Huang - RoboCoach concept sounds very interesting : What is robo-coach and how does it help? How does this relate to other initiative like Cdn National Institute of the Blind? Did you get lessons from efforts like that? Does your approach offer an opportunity for "normal" employee applns (challenges in the workplace are universal)? # enddoc