-------- Forwarded Message --------
From: www.BillHowell.ca
To: Steven ...
Subject: 900y history cycle; Rieger, Schwabe, Suess-de Vries: The Sunny Beats of Resonance
Date: Tue, 23 Apr 2024 11:36:08 -0600

900y history cycle

Back in February, I messed up my webPages, but couldn't break from revamping my QNial programming language libraries. I've recently cleaned up my "local computer webPage" for the 900 y history cycle, but cannot start fixing any of my website until a week or two two from now (at least until after tax time).

I still have to put [copyright, permission]s on each image.


Rieger, Schwabe, Suess-de Vries: The Sunny Beats of Resonance

Many nice papers have been emerging recently, politically-incorrect and long-hated by the great majority of [climate, astronomy, physics] experts (even considering huge changes in perception of the last 10-15 years, but in small minorities or scientists). Here are two of legions :

G.M. Horstmann, M. Klevs, G. Mamatsashvili, T. Weier 19Apr2024 "Rieger, Schwabe, Suess-de Vries: The Sunny Beats of Resonance" Solar Physics, v299, n51 https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11207-024-02295-x
This is really fun for me, having participated in discussions with Paul Charbonneau of UQuebec at Montreal (?I can't remember, maybe Polytechnique?). I love his paper about the perenniel failures of planetary models of the sunspot and other solar cycles, dating back just after the sunspot cycle was identified. I need this "standard religion of science" for my self-imposed practice of "multiple conflicting hypothesis", but even more importantly as a perfect example of the normal intellectual failures of scientific experts (in this case the critics of planetary influence, who have only "Universal Function Approximators", which render irrelevant their [concept, model]s. They have always been unwittingly playing bridge with 2 cards out a deck of 52 (in this case in [physics, astronomy, geology]).

Satoshi Okamoto etal 11Jan2021 "Statistical properties of superflares on solar-type stars: results using all the Kepler primary mission data" https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3847/1538-4357/abc8f5
Dynamics - great paper in a long series by multiple teams that derive Solar system periodicities from other stars:
~1.5 ky Dansgaard-Oeschger (DO) event X200 flares
~6 ky Heinrich event (HE) X1000 flares on other stars (Heinrich-Bond)
12 ky Pole shift micronova
I think mostly data Milky Way stars, but possibly some from other galaxies? (I haven't properly checked 5-6 papers to see).

I haven't found anyone, on blogs or in person, who shows any signs of [understand, extend]ing the significance of proxies of our solar system's "past-present-future" derived statistically (probably not very reliably) from the behaviours of large populations of other stars. An independent estimate of our own local behaviours (actually literally, if you follow that track of associations), that is COMPLETELY independent of what happens locally. Reminds me of Isaac Asimov's "Foundation and Empire" (that, plus "Nightfall" are his only books that fascinated me. Definitely not my favourite sci-fi author, partly because I don't have favorites.)

Keep in mid that there has been strong work on the recent "disruptions in progressive proximity" of the 3-4 nearest starts to our Sun looking in the general direction of the center of the Milky Way. Strong progressive changes on our Solar System [planet, moon]s in the last 10 years are being monitored closely.

Russia, China, Japan are leading new areas? -> [concept, analysis], not [satellite, instrument]s
From the flood of papers, but also by [random, scattered] comements by Western scientists, there is perhaps hope that scientists in other areas of the world can work past the dogmas of Western scientists. I haven't tracked the neural network conferences and publications for 4-5 years. Chinese dominance in the "hard areas" of neural networks was obvious.

The paper by Horstmann etal all shown above is proof that there may be hope for Western scientists? I wonder. Perhaps the protests at USA universities are a better indicator.

Cheers ,


Bill Howell, Bill@BillHowell.ca 1-587-707-2027